My cautionary posting
last weekend was clearly too pessimistic and probably influenced by the disappointment which accompanied the UK General election back in May. Likewise, some of the blog posts I read on Monday and Tuesday, predicting a landslide win of in excess of 100 house seats and capture of the senate were overly optimistic. That was not going to happen, at least not yet.
These are early days and although a significant number of people have begun to wake up, many more still continue to slumber. The odd folks of Delaware, for instance, continue to stagger forward like cheerful zombies, obediently voting the way CNN tells them to, and I have no idea what the Nevada voters must have been smoking (or sniffing).
Clearly not all of which was hoped for was achieved, and certain results, such as Nevada and possibly Alaska leave the controlled media a straw to cling to and a half truth they can use to downplay the strength of the Tea Party. Meanwhile the significance of any Tea Party failure will be exaggerated. Christine O’Donnell, defeated by the treachery of Karl Rove, one of the most vicious media campaigns since those launched against first Hillary Clinton and then Sarah Palin in 2008, and a few unwise statements in her youth, will also continue to be unfairly derided in the manner the MSM reserve for those victims they successfully brought down.
However, this remains a very satisfactory outcome in terms of where it places the protagonists in advance of the election in 2012.
Obama has lost his
magic and has been seriously wounded and will almost certainly never regain his, one time, Messiah like status. He has been humiliated and a break has been placed on his plans, most of which may now never be achieved. However, the fact that the Democrats have retained a fingernail’s grip on control of the senate mean that they, and Obama will still have to take responsibility for whatever goes wrong and they will not be able to blame the Republicans for their failings with any credibility.
That is not to say they will not try.
The Republicans on the other hand have demonstrated that they are in the ascendancy, which will both motivate their supporters and boost their images as potential winners, whist the Democrats struggle to play down the worst losses in over 60 years.
Failing some unforeseeable disaster, all the Republicans need to do is behave themselves and pick the right contender to run in 2012. That of course will be the challenge, as a suitable Republican candidate is not obvious from the choices currently available.
Some will I am sure encourage the excellent Ron Paul to have another go, but his age and the narrowness of his platform seriously undermine his prospects to my way of thinking. Whereas his son Rand, for all his charisma is not yet ready (Conservatives should not make the mistake the left did, when they put Obama forward before he was ready).
Sadly, in my view, supporting a Sarah Palin candidacy at this time would be a huge risk. For all the lady’s popularity with the Right, and her obvious qualities, unfair as it may seems, she carries too many wounds from the vicious media assaults upon her over the last two and a half years and there is insufficient time for those wounds to heal. Would the American people really elect into power someone who has been the butt of so many jokes, who has been impersonated by so many bad comedians and had their head photoshopped into so much pornography?
I do not know the answer to that question, except that it is too great a risk to take at this point in the fight back. It is not fair, but when the left set out to vilify someone they are vile, they are ruthless and sadly they are effective.
In fact, and much as I hate to say this, I do not believe the Right should choose a female candidate for 2012. Only Conservatives love strong women, the left are far too sexist to forgive any woman who dares to step beyond the limited roles (victim, liberal earth mother or man hating feminist) which Political Correctness permits them to play and they will hunt down and destroy any woman who tries to perform a different role or who stands in the way a preferred , ethnic minority, candidate.
There are few things more blood thirsty and vicious than the left in pursuit of a woman who dares to be conservative, and the public, with their taste for female hate figures will be only to willing to believe what they are told (as they did with Palin).
I look forward to the day America has a conservative female president, at 46, and 54 respectively, in six or ten years time, Sarah Palin or Michelle Bachmann could be that President, but 2012 is too soon and too important to take a risk.
Finding the right candidate is key, not only to achieving victory in 2012 but also to sustaining power. I can't see the right candidate just yet, lets hope he steps forward soon.
Meanwhile, we can take a moment to enjoy a very encouraging start.